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Gaussian Processes

For our experiments, we implemented normal GPs completely from scratch and optimize hyperparameters (lengthscales, signal noise, noise variance) with scipy.minimize. The normal GP optimizes a penalized version of the log-likelihood in order to avoid unreasonably large hyperparameters. Each state dimension has its own GP model, which predicts the change of the current state, and is contained in the wrapper MultivariateGP

In order to be more computationally efficient, Sparse GP approximations are implemented based on GPy. However, GPy does not allow to optimize custom likelihoods directly, consequently we constrain the hyperparameter optimization for lengthscales between [0,300] and for noise variance between [1e-3, 1e-10].