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Pass Analysis in Olympic Women's Ice Hockey

Published by Alon Harell(@picagrad), Robyn Ritchie (@ritchi12), and Phil Shreeves (@pshreeves)
Repository containing data and code for our submission to the 2022 Big-Data-Cup at the 2022 Ottawa Hockey Analytics Conference (#OTTHAC22).
See our full submission on https://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.13678.pdf.

Pass Analysis

All examples and plots here are taken from the following play:
Full Pass - No Metrics
We divide the ice into triplets of time an location based on our puck motion model:
All time-location triplets
Next, we calculate rink control at all triplets:
Rink Control

From here we begin using our probabilistic passing model to create some more specific metrics such as:
Scoring Probability and Location Value
Conditional Location Value and Best Case Pass Value
Location Pass Value and Expected Pass Value

Using these, we go over the entire dataset to produce our summary metrics:
Passer Decision Making
Overall Passer Performance

Requirements

For reading the data we use a jupyter notebook on python. Some basic requirements (older version will likely work just as well):

  • Python3 : 3.9.7
  • Pandas: 1.4.2
  • Numpy: 1.22.3
  • IPython: 8.2.0
  • ipykernel: 6.12.1

The R code is self contained and will install all necessary packages if run in RStudio version 4.2.0

Usage

Main files

Data_Clean.ipynb contains all of the data reading and filtering, as well as calculations of speed and angle, and saves a JSON file to be opened by the R code.
BDC_2022_inR.Rmd allows loading, analyzing, and producing the majority of plots for any one specific play.
BDC_PassModel.Rmd contains the code analyzing each play at multiple passing speeds, for the entire dataset.

Auxiliary Code

hockey_pipeline.R contains the majority of our models and auxilliary functions.
interactive_plot.R contains auxilliary code for plotting our summary statistics.