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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt,numpy as np,statsmodels.api as sm,pandas as pd
from statsmodels.formula.api import ols,glm
from io import StringIO
import urllib.request,statsmodels.stats,scipy.stats,seaborn as sns
from scipy.optimize import minimize
from statsmodels.graphics.tsaplots import plot_acf
###load data:
##from web:
data = StringIO(urllib.request.urlopen('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pluieciel/econometrics/master/data/France%20GDP.csv').read().decode('ascii', 'ignore'))